Completely accurate and trustworthy predictions of the Linux kernel releases based on a single data point. Not.
Based on v6.15-rc2 having been tagged on 2025-04-13, the tea leaves say:
v6.14 2025-03-23
Merge window for features heading to v6.15
v6.15-rc1 2025-04-06
v6.15-rc2 2025-04-13
v6.15-rc3 predicted 2025-04-20
v6.15-rc4 predicted 2025-04-27
v6.15-rc5 predicted 2025-05-04
The drm subsystem deadline for features heading to v6.16 release.
v6.15-rc6 predicted 2025-05-11
v6.15-rc7 predicted 2025-05-18
v6.15 release predicted 2025-05-25/2025-06-01
Merge window for features heading to v6.16
v6.16-rc1 predicted 2025-06-08/2025-06-15
v6.16-rc2 predicted 2025-06-15/2025-06-22
v6.16-rc3 predicted 2025-06-22/2025-06-29
v6.16-rc4 predicted 2025-06-29/2025-07-06
v6.16-rc5 predicted 2025-07-06/2025-07-13
The drm subsystem deadline for features heading to v6.17 release.
v6.16-rc6 predicted 2025-07-13/2025-07-20
v6.16-rc7 predicted 2025-07-20/2025-07-27
v6.16 release predicted 2025-07-27/2025-08-10
Merge window for features heading to v6.17
v6.17-rc1 predicted 2025-08-10/2025-08-24
v6.17-rc2 predicted 2025-08-17/2025-08-31
v6.17-rc3 predicted 2025-08-24/2025-09-07
v6.17-rc4 predicted 2025-08-31/2025-09-14
v6.17-rc5 predicted 2025-09-07/2025-09-21
The drm subsystem deadline for features heading to v6.18 release.
v6.17-rc6 predicted 2025-09-14/2025-09-28
v6.17-rc7 predicted 2025-09-21/2025-10-05
v6.17 release predicted 2025-09-28/2025-10-19